A Method for Evaluating Individual Stocks
While studying Huarong's investment philosophy, we encounter key survival rules in the stock market, including criteria for evaluating stocks. One notable method is: Market Trend + Themes + Volume + Moving Averages + MACD + K-line Logic + Psychological Discipline. Below is a detailed breakdown.
1. Market Trend
The overall market condition is primary:
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Trade stocks when the market is strong; avoid or limit trades during weakness.
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High trading volume is positive; low volume signals caution.
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Monitor the 10-day and 30-day moving averages—upward trends are favorable.
2. Themes
Themes drive stock rallies, hence the saying: "Themes are the primary productivity." Focus on:
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Macro themes (e.g., free-trade zone policies).
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Stock-specific themes (e.g., Beijing Urban Construction).
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Short-term hot topics.
3. Volume
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Real-time volume: High volume, turnover rate, and total transaction value are ideal.
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Historical data: Track changes among the top 10 tradable shareholders.
4. Moving Averages
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Bullish alignment (e.g., 5-day > 20-day MA) is preferred.
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Prices near key MAs signal stability; deviations indicate risk.
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Converging MAs often precede trend reversals.
5. MACD
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Golden Cross: A classic buy signal.
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Lines above the zero axis: Indicate bullish momentum.
6. K-line Logic
Key candlestick patterns:
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Morning Star: Suggests a bottom reversal.
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Single Yang Unbroken: A consolidation pattern.
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Harami: Potential trend reversal.
(Refer to dedicated sections for more patterns.)
7. Psychological Discipline
Mindset is critical:
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Avoid impulsive trades, especially during downturns.
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Professionals follow discipline: trade actively in uptrends, rest during downtrends.