A Method for Evaluating Individual Stocks

  • 2025-07-26


A Method for Evaluating Individual Stocks

While studying Huarong's investment philosophy, we encounter key survival rules in the stock market, including criteria for evaluating stocks. One notable method is: Market Trend + Themes + Volume + Moving Averages + MACD + K-line Logic + Psychological Discipline. Below is a detailed breakdown.

1. Market Trend

The overall market condition is primary:

  • Trade stocks when the market is strong; avoid or limit trades during weakness.

  • High trading volume is positive; low volume signals caution.

  • Monitor the 10-day and 30-day moving averages—upward trends are favorable.

2. Themes

Themes drive stock rallies, hence the saying: "Themes are the primary productivity." Focus on:

  • Macro themes (e.g., free-trade zone policies).

  • Stock-specific themes (e.g., Beijing Urban Construction).

  • Short-term hot topics.

3. Volume

  • Real-time volume: High volume, turnover rate, and total transaction value are ideal.

  • Historical data: Track changes among the top 10 tradable shareholders.

4. Moving Averages

  • Bullish alignment (e.g., 5-day > 20-day MA) is preferred.

  • Prices near key MAs signal stability; deviations indicate risk.

  • Converging MAs often precede trend reversals.

5. MACD

  • Golden Cross: A classic buy signal.

  • Lines above the zero axis: Indicate bullish momentum.

6. K-line Logic

Key candlestick patterns:

  • Morning Star: Suggests a bottom reversal.

  • Single Yang Unbroken: A consolidation pattern.

  • Harami: Potential trend reversal.
    (Refer to dedicated sections for more patterns.)

7. Psychological Discipline

Mindset is critical:

  • Avoid impulsive trades, especially during downturns.

  • Professionals follow discipline: trade actively in uptrends, rest during downtrends.

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